Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.055863 0.065443 0.076128 0.088926 0.103834 0.120650 0.141057
2025-08-31 0.040327 0.052579 0.067722 0.087793 0.113687 0.145961 0.189251
2025-09-07 0.032414 0.045882 0.063888 0.089678 0.125641 0.173995 0.243965
2025-09-14 0.026332 0.039895 0.059242 0.088783 0.132698 0.195530 0.292276
2025-09-21 0.021616 0.034744 0.054555 0.086528 0.136760 0.212591 0.335771
2025-09-28 0.017949 0.030421 0.050217 0.083786 0.139199 0.226948 0.376443
2025-10-05 0.016006 0.028462 0.049152 0.085848 0.149178 0.253873 0.440043
2025-10-12 0.014177 0.026360 0.047474 0.086507 0.156708 0.277473 0.500887
2025-10-19 0.012602 0.024434 0.045769 0.086774 0.163421 0.300261 0.562932
2025-10-26 0.011425 0.023043 0.044786 0.088131 0.172134 0.327416 0.635960
2025-11-02 0.010584 0.022156 0.044590 0.090881 0.183701 0.360988 0.724882
2025-11-09 0.009212 0.019998 0.041640 0.087823 0.183550 0.372304 0.772158
2025-11-16 0.008278 0.018629 0.040116 0.087515 0.189031 0.395577 0.846931
2025-11-23 0.007379 0.017202 0.038281 0.086310 0.192514 0.415303 0.917110
2025-11-30 0.006847 0.016504 0.037891 0.088145 0.202685 0.450011 1.023269
2025-12-07 0.006170 0.015369 0.036380 0.087262 0.206716 0.472047 1.104470
2025-12-14 0.005486 0.014110 0.034412 0.085044 0.207388 0.486722 1.170875
2025-12-21 0.004857 0.012891 0.032367 0.082348 0.206561 0.497848 1.230376
2025-12-28 0.004574 0.012504 0.032268 0.084375 0.217335 0.537071 1.361349
2026-01-04 0.004243 0.011940 0.031655 0.085023 0.224776 0.569229 1.479071
2026-01-11 0.003925 0.011364 0.030930 0.085286 0.231266 0.599814 1.596628
2026-01-18 0.003686 0.010970 0.030627 0.086619 0.240714 0.638874 1.740674
2026-01-25 0.003524 0.010771 0.030820 0.089323 0.254168 0.689729 1.921855